Wednesday, January 18, 2006 Apple Q1 2006 Earnings and Conference Call

Switch To A Mac: Apple Q1 2006 Earnings and Conference Call

From the article:

Apple Computer Inc. reported a 95 percent rise in its December quarter profit compared to the same quarter last year. Surging sales of its iPod music players played a key role in Apple registering more than $1 billion in sales through its company owned retail stores. Apple sold 14 million iPods in the quarter, a 207 percent increase year-over-year. iPod sales accounted for $1.74B in revenue, up 46 percent from the same quarter last year.
Apple sold 1.24 million Macintosh computers during the quarter comprising 667,000 desktops and 587,000 notebooks/laptops, figures up 20 percent from the year earlier period. Notebook sales accounted for $812M in revenue, up 34 percent from the same quarter last year. Desktop sales accounted for $912M in revenue, down 9 percent. Overall, Macintosh computer sales accounted for 41 percent of the company's total revenue in the quarter.

Macintosh sales exceeded the company's internal expectations in the quarter. According to Tim Cook, Apple's Chief Operating Officer, Apple saw "a bit of a pause" in the holiday quarter associated with the transition to Intel microprocessors. "We did see what we think was a bit of a pause from some customers associated with the Intel transition."

Cook also stated that Apple was “very pleased with customer and analyst response to our new Intel based Macs.” The first Intel based iMac and MacBook Pro were unveiled at last week’s Macworld Conference & Expo in San Francisco. Cook said that Apple may end the current quarter with an inability to meet demand for the MacBook Pro.

The strong Mac sales lead me to believe that more consumers and businesses are making the switch and that the trend will gain momentum during 2006 as Apple completes its transition of the Mac line to Intel Corp processors. I expect Apple to add a significant number of users to it's base and to expand its marketshare.

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Apple to Report Earnings

Apple's earnings are due out today at 2pm PST. Wall Street analysts are looking for earnings ranging from 59 cents to 69 cents per share on revenue of $5.7 billion for the December quarter. Estimate have moved up following Steve Jobs' keynote speech at last week's Macworld Expo. The EPS estimates ranges from $1.95 to $2.53. Fiscal year 2006 estimates range from $19.4 billion to $22.3 billion, an increase of $2 billion to $3 billion over 2005.

I am looking for signs of increased Macintosh computer sales. Furthermore, I am looking for more evidence of the "iPod halo effect". Increased Macintosh sales are a key metric as it points to ongoing strengh and more consumers to making the "Switch To A Mac". I would however be open to the possibility that Macintosh sales lagged as consumers may have held off on purhases in anticipation of new hardware announcements at Macworld. Steve Jobs already commented that iPod sales reached fourteen million units in the quarter.

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